United States Recession Probability
United States NBER: Recorded Recession
NBER: Recorded Recession data was reported at 0.000 Unit in Oct 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.000 Unit for Sep 2018. NBER: Recorded Recession data is updated monthly, averaging 0.000 Unit from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.000 Unit in Jun 2009 and a record low of 0.000 Unit in Oct 2018. NBER: Recorded Recession data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability. An interpretation of US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions data provided by The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). A value of 1 is a recessionary period, while a value of 0 is an expansionary period.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 0.00 Mar 2018 | monthly | Jan 1959 - Mar 2018 |
View United States's United States NBER: Recorded Recession from Jan 1959 to Mar 2018 in the chart:
United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 10 Year Treasury Yield
Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 10 Year Treasury Yield data was reported at 3.150 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.000 % for Sep 2018. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 10 Year Treasury Yield data is updated monthly, averaging 5.750 % from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 15.320 % in Sep 1981 and a record low of 1.500 % in Jul 2016. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 10 Year Treasury Yield data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 2.84 Mar 2018 | monthly | Jan 1959 - Mar 2018 |
View United States's United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 10 Year Treasury Yield from Jan 1959 to Mar 2018 in the chart:
United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield
Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield data was reported at 2.250 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.130 % for Sep 2018. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield data is updated monthly, averaging 4.620 % from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.300 % in May 1981 and a record low of 0.010 % in Dec 2011. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 Mar 2018 | monthly | Jan 1959 - Mar 2018 |
View United States's United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield from Jan 1959 to Mar 2018 in the chart:
United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield: Bond Equivalent
Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield: Bond Equivalent data was reported at 2.294 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.171 % for Sep 2018. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield: Bond Equivalent data is updated monthly, averaging 4.740 % from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.237 % in May 1981 and a record low of 0.010 % in Dec 2011. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield: Bond Equivalent data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 Mar 2018 | monthly | Jan 1959 - Mar 2018 |
View United States's United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: 3 Month Treasury Yield: Bond Equivalent from Jan 1959 to Mar 2018 in the chart:
United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread
Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data was reported at 0.856 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.829 % for Sep 2018. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data is updated monthly, averaging 1.413 % from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.146 % in Sep 1982 and a record low of -3.505 % in Dec 1980. Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 Mar 2018 | monthly | Jan 1959 - Mar 2018 |
View United States's United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread from Jan 1959 to Mar 2018 in the chart:
United States Recession Probability
Recession Probability data was reported at 14.120 % in Oct 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 14.505 % for Sep 2019. Recession Probability data is updated monthly, averaging 7.668 % from Jan 1960 (Median) to Oct 2019, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 95.405 % in Dec 1981 and a record low of 0.080 % in Sep 1983. Recession Probability data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 10.84 Mar 2019 | monthly | Jan 1960 - Mar 2019 |