United States FRB Recession Risk
FRB Recession Risk
FRB Recession Risk data was reported at 0.130 % in Dec 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.132 % for Nov 2025. FRB Recession Risk data is updated monthly, averaging 0.166 % from Jan 1973 (Median) to Dec 2025, with 636 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.000 % in Oct 2008 and a record low of 0.016 % in Jul 2003. FRB Recession Risk data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S: FRB Recession Risk.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 0.130 Dec 2025 | monthly | Jan 1973 - Dec 2025 |
View United States's FRB Recession Risk from Jan 1973 to Dec 2025 in the chart:
FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread
FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data was reported at 0.896 Basis Point in Dec 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.933 Basis Point for Nov 2025. FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data is updated monthly, averaging 1.686 Basis Point from Jan 1973 (Median) to Dec 2025, with 636 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.844 Basis Point in Nov 2008 and a record low of 0.564 Basis Point in Oct 1978. FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S: FRB Recession Risk.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 0.896 Dec 2025 | monthly | Jan 1973 - Dec 2025 |
View United States's FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread from Jan 1973 to Dec 2025 in the chart:
FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium
FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data was reported at -0.246 Basis Point in Dec 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.236 Basis Point for Nov 2025. FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data is updated monthly, averaging -0.119 Basis Point from Jan 1973 (Median) to Dec 2025, with 636 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.430 Basis Point in Oct 2008 and a record low of -1.061 Basis Point in Jul 2003. FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S: FRB Recession Risk.
| Last | Frequency | Range |
|---|---|---|
| -0.246 Dec 2025 | monthly | Jan 1973 - Dec 2025 |