United States FRB Recession Risk

FRB Recession Risk

1973 - 2025 | Monthly | % | Federal Reserve Board

FRB Recession Risk data was reported at 0.178 % in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.192 % for Mar 2025. FRB Recession Risk data is updated monthly, averaging 0.193 % from Jan 1973 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 628 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.000 % in Oct 2008 and a record low of 0.022 % in Jul 2003. FRB Recession Risk data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S090: FRB Recession Risk.

Last Frequency Range
0.133 Feb 2025 monthly Jan 1973 - Feb 2025

View United States's FRB Recession Risk from Jan 1973 to Feb 2025 in the chart:

United States FRB Recession Risk

FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread

1973 - 2025 | Monthly | Basis Point | Federal Reserve Board

FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data was reported at 1.268 Basis Point in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.114 Basis Point for Mar 2025. FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data is updated monthly, averaging 1.572 Basis Point from Jan 1973 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 628 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.924 Basis Point in Nov 2008 and a record low of 0.563 Basis Point in Oct 1978. FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S090: FRB Recession Risk.

Last Frequency Range
0.986 Feb 2025 monthly Jan 1973 - Feb 2025

View United States's FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread from Jan 1973 to Feb 2025 in the chart:

United States FRB Recession Risk: Corporate Bond Credit Spread

FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium

1973 - 2025 | Monthly | Basis Point | Federal Reserve Board

FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data was reported at -0.105 Basis Point in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.060 Basis Point for Mar 2025. FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data is updated monthly, averaging -0.056 Basis Point from Jan 1973 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 628 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.539 Basis Point in Oct 2008 and a record low of -1.026 Basis Point in Jul 2003. FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S090: FRB Recession Risk.

Last Frequency Range
-0.266 Feb 2025 monthly Jan 1973 - Feb 2025

View United States's FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium from Jan 1973 to Feb 2025 in the chart:

United States FRB Recession Risk: Excess Bond Premium
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