Our Insights

India might be the world's fastest-growing major economy, but the pace wasn't enough for Sanjay Malhotra, the recently installed governor of the Reserve Bank of India. He unexpectedly cut the central bank's key rate by 50 basis points a week ago and slashed the cash reserve ratio for lenders.

While most developed economies continue to grapple with sticky inflation, Switzerland is actually seeing consumer prices shrink. As a result, some observers see a return to negative interest rate policies as a distinct possibility.

The primary driver of global crude oil demand has shifted from developed economies to emerging markets. In 2023, non-OECD countries accounted for 55% of global crude oil demand; meanwhile, as our chart of global consumption shows, demand growth in developed countries has remained relatively stable.

Donald Trump's promised tariffs on steel and aluminum took effect in early June, imposing a levy of 50% on imports of both metals. The administration argued that that tariffs in the president's first term successfully supported domestic producers against unfair foreign competition as imports decreased.

Analyzing the US and Japanese government bond yield curves over the years shows that when it comes to steepness, the two nations have "swapped places" several times over the past decade. We show this by charting the spread between 5- and 30-year bond yields for both nations.

While China's goods exports are often in the headlines, its international services trade has steadily increased as well -- surpassing USD 1 trillion for the first time in 2024. Since 2001, services' share of China's total trade mix (including imports and exports) has fluctuated between about 10% and a peak of 17%; as our chart shows, a sharp decline during the pandemic was followed by a steady rebound.

Our latest on-demand video – “Thailand and ASEAN Economic Resilience Amid US Tariffs” – unpacks the implications of rising tariffs on commodities, currency and investment in ASEAN and the Thailand market with an compelling insights.

The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (often referred to by the acronym GBA) is one of the largest urban agglomerations in the world. With almost 90 million people, the region stretches far beyond Hong Kong and the historic hub of Guangzhou; adjacent cities including Dongguan and Foshan have boomed alongside their manufacturing industries.

With Donald Trump's on again, off-again tariff policies disrupted by a court ruling, we've assembled a dashboard compiling market-based indicators compiling the effect of his policies on various asset classes - from stocks to fund flows and gold.

Britons are wondering why their inflation has been so much stickier than many other nations. Recent figures showed price increases surprisingly picked up in April, reaching a 3.5% year-on-year pace and confounding expectations of a slowdown