Articles
High-frequency Indonesia food index suggests a slowdown for inflation
Our proprietary food index for Indonesia is providing a heads up for yet-to-be-released official inflation statistics – suggesting a sharp slowdown after a late 2025 price surge.
Articles
EU-Mercosur deal has scope to revive lackluster trade trends
The EU reached a historic trade deal this month even as Donald Trump threatened to tariff European countries. After 25 years of talks, Mercosur – the 5-nation South American bloc led by Brazil and Argentina – signed a deal creating one of the largest free-trade areas in the world.
Articles
US trade and industries at risk for Greenland's European allies
Donald Trump called off planned tariffs on European military allies that opposed his vow to acquire Greenland, but it's worth examining US trade relationships that were in the balance.
Articles
Global gold shipments distort US trade and GDP nowcast (again)
GDPNow has just seen another sudden revision: after US trade figures for October were released on Jan. 8, the nowcast was revised to a 5%-plus rate of real-time economic growth – a jump of two percentage points and a two-year high.