Our Insights

CEIC recently added fund flow data from EPFR, covering more than 151,000 share classes accounting for more than $52 trillion in assets. Their information on the flow of money around the world can help reveal perceptions of geopolitical events – including elections.

The European Central Bank has cut interest rates for the first time since 2019. CEIC users might get a real-time sense of the factors influencing Christine Lagarde's thinking by considering high-frequency indicators – such as the weekly employment data from Revelio Labs.

India's election result was a shock: Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to retain power, but his BJP party lost its majority for the first time in 10 years. The stock-market drop was especially pronounced because exit polls released the day before had shown a strong majority for the BJP was likely, enabling Modi to push through market-friendly policies.

This heatmap visualization tracks whether CEIC's nowcasts have been "directionally correct," i.e. successfully predicting an increase or a decrease. Since April 2021, our models have assessed the trend correctly 76.1% of the time.

CEIC, the leading source of macroeconomic data and analytics for the world’s fastest-growing economies, is pleased to unveil a partnership with EPFR, the top provider of intelligence on global fund flows.

The deadly floods that devastated southern Brazil have profoundly affected the economy. To get a sense of the worst-hit industries, we can turn to the sectoral indices provided by Exchange Data International, which were recently incorporated into the CEIC platform.

Vietnamese exports are booming as multinational firms relocate manufacturing facilities. High-frequency data on the shipping market lets us track this performance in real time.

Argentina recently announced its fourth consecutive month of budget surpluses in the wake of President Javier Milei’s tough austerity measures. This also continues to result in a sharp slowdown in inflation.

Australian central bankers recently ruled out rate cuts until 2025. With official May CPI data unavailable until the end of June, our nowcast gives an early insight into whether the RBA will stick to this stance.

With Mexico's election less than two weeks away, economic growth is estimated to have accelerated. According to the daily GDP nowcast CEIC sources from Now-Casting Economics, real GDP growth accelerated to a 2.2% year-on year pace in Q2 from 1.6% in the previous quarter.

Indonesia's central bank recently implemented a surprise rate hike to support the rupiah. Our proprietary weekly inflation nowcast is suggesting that this move is having the desired impact of reducing price growth, as well.